Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.030815 0.033162 0.035509 0.038027 0.040649 0.043296 0.046166
2025-08-24 0.026095 0.029791 0.033611 0.037838 0.042368 0.047063 0.052283
2025-08-31 0.023085 0.027533 0.032242 0.037565 0.043383 0.049518 0.056448
2025-09-07 0.020863 0.025855 0.031251 0.037462 0.044359 0.051734 0.060169
2025-09-14 0.018735 0.024091 0.029998 0.036909 0.044697 0.053128 0.062875
2025-09-21 0.016912 0.022537 0.028856 0.036367 0.044942 0.054329 0.065286
2025-09-28 0.015071 0.020839 0.027446 0.035421 0.044644 0.054849 0.066871
2025-10-05 0.014422 0.020506 0.027577 0.036209 0.046285 0.057519 0.070837
2025-10-12 0.013597 0.019906 0.027347 0.036536 0.047362 0.059524 0.074033
2025-10-19 0.012570 0.018997 0.026699 0.036326 0.047780 0.060745 0.076315
2025-10-26 0.012212 0.018903 0.027017 0.037250 0.049511 0.063467 0.080303
2025-11-02 0.011531 0.018357 0.026751 0.037446 0.050363 0.065157 0.083095
2025-11-09 0.010595 0.017484 0.026106 0.037230 0.050796 0.066453 0.085552
2025-11-16 0.009741 0.016688 0.025539 0.037106 0.051350 0.067910 0.088233
2025-11-23 0.008899 0.015854 0.024882 0.036832 0.051690 0.069090 0.090567
2025-11-30 0.008199 0.015172 0.024386 0.036730 0.052215 0.070471 0.093123
2025-12-07 0.007383 0.014275 0.023567 0.036184 0.052167 0.071145 0.094829
2025-12-14 0.006638 0.013433 0.022782 0.035649 0.052104 0.071781 0.096470
2025-12-21 0.005817 0.012418 0.021719 0.034714 0.051510 0.071749 0.097295
2025-12-28 0.005628 0.012361 0.021967 0.035492 0.053069 0.074331 0.101247
2026-01-04 0.005305 0.012074 0.021879 0.035815 0.054043 0.076195 0.104337
2026-01-11 0.004843 0.011531 0.021407 0.035608 0.054328 0.077205 0.106391
2026-01-18 0.004741 0.011574 0.021770 0.036521 0.056050 0.079985 0.110589